methodology / the architecture beneath

/ the method

WE SCAN, WE MAP, WE BUILD

WE SCAN, WE MAP, WE BUILD

New Olfactory Worlds is a continuous foresight project. Built on four disciplines, horizon scanning, cultural research, pattern mapping and scenario building, it keeps updating as the field moves rather than freezing on the day it's published.

/ evidences, not just claims

150+

SELECTED SIGNALS AND SHIFTS

6

segments MONITORED

12

MARKETS COVERED

Monthly

UPDATE CADENCE

SCAN

what is changing

01

01

Horizon
Scanning

Horizon Scanning

Horizon Scanning

We track early signals and indicators of change before they become obvious, each one rated for how far it has spread, from fringe to mainstream.

We track early signals and indicators of change before they become obvious, each one rated for how far it has spread, from fringe to mainstream.

MATURITY levels

3 HORIZONS

02

02

Cultural
Research

Cultural Research

Cultural Research

Markets tell you what is launching. Culture tells you what it means at a human level: how scent is used to construct identity, ritual and belonging.

Markets tell you what is launching. Culture tells you what it means at a human level: how scent is used to construct identity, ritual and belonging.

SCENT DOMAINS

CULTURAL FORMS

MAP

what connects

what connects

Converging abstract line pattern

03

03

Pattern
Mapping

Pattern Mapping

Pattern Mapping

Signals and cultural shifts rarely matter alone. We look for the threads that compound and turn directional, where scattered signals resolve into a trend.

Signals and cultural shifts rarely matter alone. We look for the threads that compound and turn directional, where scattered signals resolve into a trend.

COMPOUNDING SIGNALS

3 THREADS

BUILD

what can be

what can be

04

04

Scenario
Building

Scenario Building

Scenario Building

A thread is a direction. Building a scenario means projecting it into a full, plausible world: what it looks like, why it exists, and who’s embodying it.

A thread is a direction. Building a scenario means projecting it into a full, plausible world: what it looks like, why it exists, and who’s embodying it.

3 SCENARIOS

2030–2040

/ from patterns to scenarios

THE FORCES INTERLOCK

Each scenario is led by one pattern and shaped by the other two. Scored against all three, they separate by time: 2030, 2035, 2040. Hover a shape or a scenario to compare; click to hold it.

Identity Fragmentation
Programmable Olfaction
Biometric Interface
 

/ the lense we scan through

Our Guiding Compass

Everything we track is sorted through one framework, built by Monia with clients in beauty, wellness and luxury and applied here to fragrance: six fixed segments, each explored through domains that evolve as the database behind them updates.

A proprietary system for scanning emerging innovation
01
Ingredients &
Formulations
02
Packaging &
Materials
03
Tech &
Digital
04
Experience &
Services
05
Society &
Culture
06
Markets &
Systems
Select a segment
Hover or click for more detail
6 segments · 36 domains · 1 dot = 1 domain

/ Let’s build what’s next

Work with us

For teams who want to stay close to where fragrance is heading.

Just curious?

Good enough reason to get in touch.

LET'S CHAT

sent

Explore a specific question

DEEP DIVE

A study built entirely around the one question you're trying to answer, going deeper than the project itself to deliver an answer that's entirely yours.

Track what matters to you

radar

Continuous monitoring of what's shifting in scent, the same signal-scanning behind this project, run on your behalf and kept pointed at your own roadmap.

understand what's coming

Briefing

A live presentation on where fragrance is heading, built from this project's signals and findings, and delivered straight to your team or your stage.

Build foresight, together

WORKSHOP

A facilitated scent futures session, built around this project's signals and cultural shifts, to find the path to the future your brand actually wants.